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Message   Mike Powell    All   OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur   August 7, 2025
 8:03 AM *  

ABNT20 KNHC 071133
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 7 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dexter, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean.

Off the Southeastern United States:
A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles off
the coast of the southeastern United States is producing minimal
shower and thunderstorm activity.  Some slow tropical or subtropical
development is possible over the weekend while the system moves
northward to northeastward, remaining well off the east coast of the
United States.  By early next week, the low is expected to become
extratropical, ending its chances for tropical development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing
disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become more conducive for gradual development in a few days, and
a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next
week while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward
across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
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