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Message   Mike Powell    All   TS Gabrielle forecast to   September 19, 2025
 10:15 AM *  

761
WTNT32 KNHC 191423
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gabrielle Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072025
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 19 2025

...GABRIELLE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 55.6W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Gabrielle.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle
was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 55.6 West. Gabrielle
is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A gradual turn
towards the north-northwestward is expected by Saturday night,
followed by a northward motion by Sunday night. On the forecast
track, the center of Gabrielle is expected to pass east of Bermuda
Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Gabrielle is expected to
become a hurricane by Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gabrielle can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Gabrielle are expected to reach Bermuda
tonight and build through the weekend.  These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Churchill/Blake
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