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Mike Powell | All | HVYSNOW: Probabilistic He |
October 29, 2025 8:44 AM * |
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FOUS11 KWBC 290540 QPFHSD Probabilistic Heavy Snow and Icing Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 140 AM EDT Wed Oct 29 2025 Valid 12Z Wed Oct 29 2025 - 12Z Sat Nov 01 2025 ...Washington Cascades... Day 3... An impressive shortwave will again lift towards British Columbia late Friday and Friday night, channeling moisture within confluent SW mid-level flow into the Pacific Northwest. Both IVT and PW anomalies from NAEFS are progged to exceed the 97th percentile within the CFSR climatology, suggesting that precipitation may become heavy very late on D3. However, the accompanying WAA driving this moisture plume northeastward will surge snow levels to 8000-9000 ft, and any cold advection associated with a surface front will be delayed until beyond this forecast period. Still, some high elevation snow is likely in the northern WA Cascades, reflected by WPC probabilities reaching up to 50% for 6+ inches, but impacts should remain above pass level into Saturday. The probability of significant ice across the CONUS is less than 10 percent. Weiss $$ --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1) |
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