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Message   Mike Powell    All   OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur   October 21, 2025
 9:38 AM *  

ABNT20 KNHC 211126
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Caribbean Sea (AL98):
Satellite, radar, and surface observations indicate that the area
of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea appears to be
developing a well-defined center, and is already producing winds up
to 45 mph.  A tropical storm is expected to form later today while
it slows down over the central Caribbean Sea.   Heavy rainfall and
gusty winds are possible over portions of the ABC Islands during the
next day or two.  Interests in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and
Cuba should monitor the progress of this system as there is a risk
of heavy rain and flooding, strong winds, and rough surf later this
week.  The Air Force Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate
the system later today.  For additional information on this system,
including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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