ABNT20 KNHC 041137
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Bahamas and Southern Florida:
A weak area of low pressure located near the northwestern Bahamas
continues to produce disorganized shower activity.  This system is
expected to drift west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas
and toward southern Florida during the next day or two, however
development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.  Heavy
rainfall could lead to flash flooding across portions of the east
coast of Florida and the northwestern Bahamas during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

North-Central Gulf:
A weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf
and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the
coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.  This system is
expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two,
reaching the coast of Texas by Monday.  Development of this system
is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and Cabo Verde
Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Gradual development of the wave is possible over
the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the
middle to latter part of next week while moving across the
central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward
Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


$$
Forecaster Berg
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