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Message   Mike Powell    All   PTC Chantal Flooding Cont   July 7, 2025
 10:49 AM *  

066 
WTNT33 KWNH 071453
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Advisory Number  12
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL032025
1100 AM EDT Mon Jul 07 2025
 
...CHANTAL BECOMES POST-TROPICAL...
...FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES NEAR AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.5N 76.3W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF NEWPORT NEWS VIRGINIA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF DOVER DELAWARE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A Flood Watch is in effect for...
* Portions of Eastern Virginia
* Portions of Southern and Eastern Maryland
* State of Delaware
* Portions of Southern New Jersey
* Portions of Southeastern Pennsylvania
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Chantal was located near latitude 37.5 North, longitude 76.3 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph
(28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal will continue to produce
heavy rainfall across portions of Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New
Jersey, and Pennsylvania today. Additional rainfall of 1 to 3
inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected. Isolated to
scattered flash flooding is possible.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal, please see the
National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
 
For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the
WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfds... .
 
SURF: Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are expected
to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern
Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Santorelli/Taylor/Shieh
 
$$
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